Although the housing market crash of 2008 was essentially what started the recession, economists believe housing will spark economic growth this year. Most economists are in agreement that this will be a good year for economic growth and approximately half of those surveyed agreed that housing will be the reason. The other half of economists believe growth will be triggered by a combination of factors such as: consumer spending, an increase in domestic energy production and stimulus from the Federal Reserve. Economic growth is estimated to be about 2.4 percent in 2013, up from a 2 percent growth in 2012.
Economist Keith Hembre believes that new home building will be the strongest growing component of recovery. Hembre said that “supply” and “demand” are more balanced now than in previous years. According to Moody’s Analytics, approximately one million new homes will be built this year. This is a 28% increase from 2012. Home construction will also add more than one million new jobs to the job market. Another good sign for the economy is that home sales were up during 2012. Buyers are returning to the market due to record-low mortgage rates, increasing home prices and a dip in foreclosures.
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