Bankruptcy Trends, Consumer News, Timothy Kingcade Posts

Fears of a Recession Grow as Trump’s Tariff Policy Takes Effect

Several economic indicators point to a recession, including declining stock prices and a weakening consumer outlook. Consumer inquiries about bankruptcy surged during the first quarter of 2025 to the highest level since early 2020, reports LegalShield, which predicts “a potential wave” of bankruptcy filings this summer.

What do economists rely on to predict a recession? There are 10 indicators, some of which have been weakening before President Trump announced his tariff policy.

Shifting Stock Prices. In the aftermath of Trump proposing higher tariffs on April 2, the S&P 500 has dropped sharply, down 6% just in the two-plus weeks since then. Lower stock prices reflect declining consumer and business confidence.

Uptick in Foreclosures & Real Estate Trends. Certain real estate segments have shown weakness, with office buildings among the most stressed. A new sentiment survey among real estate investors, compiled by RCN Capital and CJ Patrick Co., dropped to its lowest level since it was started two years ago. The survey takes quarterly readings of optimism or pessimism among investors in residential properties.

Employment Uncertainty. The unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in March. While those numbers are not bad, jobless rates are not a leading indicator for predicting the direction of the economy.  However, if the economy does take a dive, unemployment rates will start climbing.

Credit and Interest Rate Movements. With inflation expectations rising, due to higher tariffs, the Federal Reserve is likely to face a tough choice between trying to boost economic activity while trying to keep inflation at bay.

Consumer Outlook and Expectations. Consumers are feeling uneasy about the economy, and that is showing up in the data. Even before Trump’s tariff announcements, consumer expectations were the component that weighed down the leading indicators index. Since then, things have worsened. A more current indicator of consumer sentiment tracked by the University of Michigan showed substantial drops in confidence as of early April, as people prepare for what they think will be rising unemployment and inflation.

Hours Worked in Manufacturing. One key goal of Trump’s tariff policy is to boost jobs in U.S. manufacturing. However, while manufacturing employment may rise, it will take time, years even, for improvements to be reflected.

New Business Orders. This includes consumer goods, and orders for non-defense capital goods. The group also compiles a separate index that tracks new orders. As of the most recent report published in March, one of these components showed weakness, another was flat, and the third, slightly positive. The Trump Administration has changed its tariff policy several times in recent weeks, creating the type of uncertainty that businesses fear.

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If you have questions on this topic or are in a financial crisis and considering filing for bankruptcy, contact an experienced Miami bankruptcy attorney who can advise you of all of your options. As an experienced CPA as well as a proven bankruptcy lawyer, Timothy Kingcade knows how to help clients take full advantage of the bankruptcy laws to protect their assets and get successful results. Since 1996 Kingcade Garcia McMaken has been helping people from all walks of life build a better tomorrow. Our attorneys’ help thousands of people every year take advantage of their rights under bankruptcy protection to restart, rebuild and recover. The day you hire our firm, we will contact your creditors to stop the harassment. You can also find useful consumer information on the Kingcade Garcia McMaken website at www.miamibankruptcy.com.

Bankruptcy Law, Lawyers in the News

Bankruptcy Attorney Timothy S. Kingcade Interviewed by The Miami Herald

With about one out of every nine Miami-Dade workers — and nearly one out of every six in Broward — still out of a job due to the coronavirus pandemic, a question lingers in South Florida: How long can the region stave off an even worse economic disaster?

After a rough start, Florida’s unemployment system has come online to furnish tens of thousands of local workers with as much as $875 per week in unemployment insurance — the state’s standard $275, plus an extra $600 through the emergency U.S. CARES Act passed in March. But Florida’s unemployment insurance lasts only 12 weeks. And the extra $600 from Congress is set to expire July 31. Greater Miami ranks as one of the hardest hit metros in the country, thanks to its reliance on a tourism industry that has instantly dried up.

COVID-19, Credit Score

Tips to Protect Your Credit Score During the Coronavirus Pandemic

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has put many Americans in a difficult financial situation. While many are out of work either temporarily or permanently, others have found their salaries cut indefinitely as companies ride out the pandemic. The financial struggles that countless consumers are facing has put their own personal financial situations at risk, including their credit scores. Here are some tips to help protect your credit score during the pandemic.

File for Unemployment.

One of the first things a person should do after being laid off due to the pandemic is to file for unemployment. Due to the unprecedented conditions brought on by the COVID-19, the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security Act (CARES Act) expanded the eligibility terms for unemployment benefits.  These benefits now extend to freelancers and contract workers. Additionally, the CARES Act has provided an additional $600 per week for those who qualify.

Coronavirus, COVID-19, Credit Card Debt, Debt Relief

Nearly Half of U.S. Adults Now Carrying Credit Card Debt Amid Pandemic

Credit card debt has dramatically increased since the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, according to recent data from CreditCards.com. Their data reports that 120 million U.S. consumers, or 47 percent of all consumers, had credit card debt as of April 2020, which is a 43 percent increase from March.

Millennials were hit the hardest with 34 percent of them reporting that they used credit regularly. Experian, one of the three main credit reporting agencies, reported in March that U.S. consumer debt reached a staggering $14.1 trillion with credit cards making up $829 billion of this debt. This level is the highest seen since the Great Recession.

Bankruptcy Law, COVID-19, Debt Relief

Unemployment Skyrockets as a Record Number of Bankruptcies Anticipated

The coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis has hit the American economy hard, which is evident in the number of unemployment claims being filed. It has been reported that approximately 17 million American workers have filed for unemployment over the course of three weeks after many businesses have shuttered.

Research from three different Federal Reserve banks have shown that bankruptcies related to the economic downturn from the COVID-19 crisis could increase by 200,000 to reach a record 1 million filings. However, this increase is possible only if government stimulus programs do not offset this increase.

Coronavirus, COVID-19, Debt Relief

How to Receive Financial Help During the COVID-19 Crisis

The coronavirus (COVID-19) has hit our nation’s economy hard, with many Americans finding themselves suddenly out of work.  Countless small businesses have had to close their doors due to the spread of the coronavirus. Financial assistance is available during the COVID-19 crisis.

A record number of American workers filed for unemployment last week, which totaled 3.28 million people. The biggest form of financial help comes in the form of a recent $2.2 trillion stimulus package passed by Congress just last week. President Trump signed the stimulus bill into law on March 27, 2020.

Bankruptcy Law, Timothy Kingcade Posts

Trending Now: Consumer Spending on the Rise, Personal Incomes Remain Flat

The Commerce Department has reported that consumer spending increased 0.4 percent after rising by a revised 0.6 percent in November. Consumer spending recorded its strongest gain in three years in the fourth quarter, helping lift the economy to a 3.2 percent annual growth rate.

However, income was unchanged last month after rising 0.2 percent in November. This is a possible reflection of the end of jobless benefits for approximately 1.3 million long-term unemployed last month. Weak income growth combined with strong spending means less savings for Americans. The saving rate – the percentage of disposable income households are saving – fell to an 11-month low of 3.9 percent in December.

Both inflation measures remain stuck below the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. That suggests that the Federal Reserve, which is gradually reducing the amount of money it is supplying the economy, will hold interest rates near zero for a while.

Click here to read more on this story.

If you are in a financial crisis and are considering filing bankruptcy, contact an experienced Miami bankruptcy attorney who can advise you of all of your options. As an experienced CPA as well as a proven bankruptcy lawyer, Timothy Kingcade knows how to help clients take full advantage of the bankruptcy laws to protect their assets and get successful results. Since 1996 Kingcade & Garcia, P.A. has been helping people from all walks of life build a better tomorrow. Our attorneys’ help thousands of people every year take advantage of their rights under bankruptcy protection to restart, rebuild and recover. The day you hire our firm, we will contact your creditors to stop the harassment. You can also find useful consumer information on the Kingcade & Garcia website at www.miamibankruptcy.com.

Bankruptcy Law, Timothy Kingcade Posts

Job Growth Significantly Slows During March

The job market has remained steady through most of 2012 and the beginning of 2013. However, during the month of March employers added fewer jobs than any other month in almost a year. The numbers are discouraging because job growth is one of the greatest indicators of economic recovery. In February, 268,000 jobs were added to the market and in March, only 88,000 jobs were created. The unemployment rate dropped to a four-year low of 7.6% during March. Experts say the decline in unemployment was prompted by nearly a half-million workers leaving the job market and not by growth. This decline was the result of layoffs, retirements and other reasons.

The decline in job growth is not a new trend; it’s also referred to as a “springtime swoon.” It is not uncommon for hiring to start strong early in the year and wilt away as the weather warms. Some economists believe that March’s report may represent a payback for the significant growths during January and February. Others attributed the decline to budget turmoil in Washington or unusually cold weather in parts of the country. No matter the reason, analysts cautioned against reading too much into the rates from only one month. During March, employers added 20,000 temporary workers and 18,000 construction workers, which reflects the recovery of the real estate market. Sectors such as transportation lost jobs during the month of March.

Click here to read more about the decline in job growth during March.

If you are in a financial crisis and are considering filing bankruptcy, contact an experienced Miami bankruptcy attorney who can advise you of all of your options. As an experienced CPA as well as a proven bankruptcy lawyer, Timothy Kingcade knows how to help clients take full advantage of the bankruptcy laws to protect their assets and get successful results. Since 1996 Kingcade & Garcia, P.A. has been helping people from all walks of life build a better tomorrow. Our attorneys’ help thousands of people every year take advantage of their rights under bankruptcy protection to restart, rebuild and recover. The day you hire our firm, we will contact your creditors to stop the harassment. You can also find useful consumer information on the Kingcade & Garcia website at www.miamibankruptcy.com.

Credit, Timothy Kingcade Posts

One in Ten People Denied Jobs Due to Employer Credit Checks

A recent survey from Demos found that one in four unemployed people were required to go through a credit check when applying for a job. The survey also found that one in ten people were denied employment due to information on their credit report. The survey was conducted on 1,000 low and middle-income households. Most people believe credit checks are only required when applying for senior level positions; however, the study found that credit checks are commonly used for entry-level or low-paying positions as well. It is likely that some workers denied a position due to their credit score have errors on their report. According to the Federal Trade Commission, one in five consumers has an error on their credit report.

Demos also surveyed the reason for bad credit and found that two common factors for bad credit scores are unemployment and the loss of health insurance. The report attributes many of those with bad credit to poor misfortune and a suffering economy and says little of how these people would perform at work. The survey also found that minorities are affected more by these credit checks than white households. African-American households had an average unemployment rate of 14% at the end of 2012 and Hispanic households had an average of 10%. These are much higher than white households, which were at 6% at the end of 2012, according to the Economic Policy Institute.

To read more on this story visit: http://money.cnn.com/2013/03/04/pf/employer-credit-checks/index.html

If you are in a financial crisis and are considering filing bankruptcy, contact an experienced attorney who can advise you of all of your options. As an experienced CPA as well as a proven bankruptcy lawyer, Timothy Kingcade knows how to help clients take full advantage of the bankruptcy laws to protect their assets and get successful results. Since 1996 Kingcade & Garcia, P.A. has been helping people from all walks of life build a better tomorrow. Our attorneys’ help thousands of people every year take advantage of their rights under bankruptcy protection to restart, rebuild and recover. The day you hire our firm, we will contact your creditors to stop the harassment. You can also find useful consumer information on the Kingcade & Garcia, P.A. at www.miamibankruptcy.com.

Bankruptcy Law, Credit, Foreclosures, Timothy Kingcade Posts

Slow Hiring – The Reason for Many Jobless Claims

Last week, unemployment claims fell slightly. However, jobless claims seem to be driven by slow hiring. According to the Labor Department, first-time jobless claims fell last week to 366,000 from 371,000 the previous week. First-time jobless claims are extremely important to the economy because they are considered a proxy for layoffs. Over the last month, jobless claims have bounced around, making the state of the job market recovery unclear to economists.

January’s early jobless claims plummeted to a five-year low, but have shot back up in the past few weeks. Currently they are hovering in the same range they have been for most of the last year, between 350,000 – 400,000 per week. According to an economist at BMO Capital Markets, businesses are still extremely cautious about hiring new employees. The Labor Department also records people who file continuing unemployment claims. During the week ending January 26th, 3.2 million people filed continuing unemployment claims.

To read more on this story visit: http://money.cnn.com/2013/02/07/news/economy/unemployment-benefits/index.html

If you are in a financial crisis and are considering filing bankruptcy, contact an experienced attorney who can advise you of all of your options. As an experienced CPA as well as a proven bankruptcy lawyer, Timothy Kingcade knows how to help clients take full advantage of the bankruptcy laws to protect their assets and get successful results. Since 1996 Kingcade & Garcia, P.A. has been helping people from all walks of life build a better tomorrow. Our attorneys’ help thousands of people every year take advantage of their rights under bankruptcy protection to restart, rebuild and recover. The day you hire our firm, we will contact your creditors to stop the harassment. You can also find useful consumer information on the Kingcade & Garcia, P.A. at www.miamibankruptcy.com.